for balance i should also do a market for some further-off date like end of 2026 or something, 12-ish months is a short time horizon, but i didn't yet

ok i made one for 2026 also: https://manifold.markets/h2a06f/in-what-country-will-hikarinoyume-l-a4ab6ea0dcdd

this might be the more interesting market because of such exciting possibilities as “hikari moves to xyz and decides it sucks and goes somewhere else instead”. you never know